Flavio Cobolli vs Nicolas Jarry Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Analyzing the recent performance of Flavio Cobolli and Nicolás Jarry, we begin with their second serve success. Over the past six months, Cobolli has managed to win 47.4% of points on his second serve, whereas Jarry has slightly outperformed with a 49.9% success rate. These statistics are crucial in predicting match outcomes, as there is a high correlation between second serve performance and match prediction accuracy.

Examining their return game stats, Cobolli has secured 42.09% of points when returning an opponent's second serve recently, while Jarry has a slight edge with 42.15%. In terms of first serve returns, Cobolli boasts a higher success rate at 23.6%, compared to Jarry's 21.13%. These figures contribute significantly to forecasting which player might hold the advantage in their head-to-head encounters.

Under pressure, the ability to save breakpoints offers valuable insights. Recently, Cobolli has saved 53.33% of breakpoints against him, whereas Jarry shows a stronger defense with a 58.33% save rate. These stats are particularly useful for in-match betting predictions.

Looking at their performance over the past year, Cobolli has emerged victorious in 50.82% of his matches, achieving a win/loss record of 31/30. In contrast, Jarry has won only 38.89% of his matches, with a record of 14/22. This overall head-to-head prediction overview favors Cobolli based on recent form.

On their preferred surfaces, Cobolli excels on Clay, winning 60% of his matches (124/84), while his performance declines on Grass, with a 33% win rate (3/6). Jarry, on the other hand, also finds his best form on Clay, winning 65% of his matches (297/163), but struggles on Indoor hard courts, with a 34% success rate (11/21).

Considering the level of tournaments they've played, Cobolli has primarily competed on the Main tour over the last year, winning 51.52% of his matches (17/16). Jarry, competing mainly at the Masters series, has a slightly higher win percentage of 52.94% (9/8). These event levels are crucial when comparing stats to predict the match favorite.

In their direct head-to-head matchups, Cobolli and Jarry have faced each other three times. Cobolli leads with two victories, while Jarry has secured one win. They've played a total of ten sets, splitting them evenly with five each. Notably, Cobolli clinched their most recent encounter at the Mutua Madrid Open with a 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 victory on clay. On average, their matches last 2 hours and 46 minutes, indicating potentially lengthy battles.

When matches have gone to a deciding set, Cobolli has historically fared better, winning both times out of two attempts against Jarry. Additionally, Cobolli has proven successful in 58% of all deciding sets played over the past year, compared to Jarry's 50%. This favors Cobolli if the match extends to a deciding set.

Under high-pressure conditions, Jarry holds a slight edge in tiebreaks, winning their sole encounter against Cobolli in such a situation. Meanwhile, when facing opponents of slightly higher average rankings over the past year (Cobolli's 75.59 vs. Jarry's 79.58), Cobolli has shown steady performance.

Regarding breakpoint conversion, Cobolli has converted 21.43% of opportunities recently, while Jarry has been slightly more efficient, converting 21.95%. Although these conversion rates are narrowly close, Jarry's slight advantage might influence in-game predictions during breakpoint opportunities.

In summary, while both players show strengths in various areas, the comprehensive performance data suggests that Flavio Cobolli might have a slight edge in this upcoming match, especially given his strong deciding set performances and higher match win percentage over the past year.